There are a few money managers who succeed on the basis of skillmultibillionaire Warren Buffet is the most famous example. An observable outcome for which there are fewer possible explanations is thereby that much more improbableand, thus, is thereby that much logically stronger. Immediately penalize spectators for aggressive acts. Complete each Neither of the two alternatives has been ruled out, and either is more probable than that she is one of the very few people who has perfected special coin-tossing skill. Drug companies sometimes hire independent research laboratories to evaluate whether a drug they've discovered is effective or not in treating an illness. When it did come true, it was often counted as reason to believe that the oracle had special powers. For general explanations, the simplest one normally predicts the smoothest curve. 2. Which of the following is NOT one of the four most prominent theories of aggression? I have a pretty young wife (my second) whom Ive always trusted until last Friday night when I came home, put on my bathrobe and found a well-used pipe in the pocket! But Australian psychiatrist Harry Eastwell argues that natives of Austrialias Arnhem Land help the hex by blocking off life-support systems, especially access to water. Why, that he was a retired sergeant of Marines. . WebThe explanatory hypothesis is the heart of the case formulation. A theory has been extensively tested and is generally accepted among a set of scholars; a hypothesis is a speculative guess that has yet to be tested. A team of researchers recently found no differences that would account for the beak variations. 5) Growth, development, and reproduction. When people insist that they have no repressed memories, then, Freud considers this to be evidence for the presence of resistance, which is itself evidence for the existence of repression. A pathway by which we can come to discover and better understand our world. Could you find out for me which five days that man is on the road? Influenced by the confirmation bias, you proposed a number that would confirm your preferred answer. Sales of vegetarian foods vary by season. Who was the first African American to receive a PhD in psychology in the United States? Those desperate to discredit a good explanatory argument might misuse this guideline. The proposed explanation for a phenomenon is BEST described as: Which of the following questions CANNOT be answered by the scientific method? Oona should conduct research in the area of ________ psychology. What was the primary conclusion of Stanley Milgram's obedience research? b. It is freeloading; so it deserves no credit when the outcome comes true. . The leading alternative explanation is that the manager has succeeded by sheer luck. It was a tiny dent, no larger than a nickel, on the main frame of one motorcycle moving along an assembly line that produces about 175 such vehicles every day. The logic of the argument is accordingly weak. 1) A complex, ordered organization consisting of one or more cells. 4) Regulation and homeostasis. Suppose you see an advertisement in the business pages touting a stock fund that has topped the market for five years in a row. This, the ad says, proves that the manager of the fund is especially skillfuland thus that you should invest large quantities of cash with this manager. Conduct the experiment over and over again. Null hypothesis : this is known as the default hypothesis.It states that Organisms can perform many reactions and activities, by acquiring, using, and transforming energy. . Also termed a theory or an explanatory hypothesis. . Answer: 16: Abbys argument remains moderately strong. The Earth is surrounded by a sea of air that decreases uniformly in pressure as altitude increases. d. Let athletes decide on what punishments fit different aggressive and violent behaviors. If the butler regularly handled the candlestick anyway, then his fingerprints on it would not point to him as the murderer. He has just come from the tropics, for his face is dark, and that is not the natural tint of his skin, for his wrists are fair. Psychologists scientifically study ________. The logic of the gods argument would benefit if its observable outcome ruled out the luck alternativeif, for example, the outcome were revised, as Bacon hints, to this: Nobody who worships the gods has drowned in a shipwreck. According to ancient Chinese folklore, the moon reappeared after the lunar eclipse because the people made a great deal of noise, banging on pots and pans and setting off fireworks. General explanationsNewtonian celestial mechanics, for exampleare intended to apply broadly; Newtons theories explain the motion of all heavenly bodies at all times. Life is organized on many levels within individual organisms, including atoms, cells, tissues, and organs. She must be a good driver, since she usually gets where shes going without running into anybody. I couldnt believe it was a fire. But where the two species competed for seeds, one evolved a beak suited for the small seeds, while the other developed a beak for the large seeds. The husband said he put the pipe somewhere, and the plumber had no way of knowing where; how often is someone going to be able to sneak in and find something like that without being caught? WebThe hypothesis is consistent with new data and investigations used to test its predictions. b. So-called crop circles in southern Englands grain fields were widely reported in the media a few years ago. a. physically harming another individual The MIU supplier of concrete had required MIU to give one days notice of the need for concrete, but never agreed to provide it for the next day until first referring to the National Weather Service. That would tend to imply that the damned thing blew up. , Woman interviewed on TV: At first I heard a funny roar. Suppose your friend, having slept in the car during the trip and being unaware of the altitude, argues, Hey, this water boiled quickly, so we must be well above sea level. This is an explanatory argument, and the conclusion bears no resemblance to the premise. Young women purchase fewer meats than women who are 35 years of age or older. This point can be broadened: vague statements, in general, are more likely to be true than precise ones. For example, our hypothesis in this case could be that the toast didn't toast because the electrical outlet is broken. d. irreverent Young women purchase fewer meats than women who are 35 years of age or older. The null hypothesis was a better fit to your data. This observable outcome easily follows from the Newtonian explanationthus, it would provide us with an argument with true premises. The empirical method of study is based on ________. In some cases, it can be tempting to accept an explanation with an extremely low prior probability simply because you cannot think of any plausible alternative. B. Sales of vegetarian foods vary by season. There was no control group with which to compare his patients who received the treatment. Men are evolutionarily built for aggression. General explanations are typical of science, though are not restricted to it. a. with the intent to harm physically. Select the correctly ordered list of psychological theorists, with the earliest theorist listed first. You might be impressed until you learn that I asked all 30 students in my class to stand up and try to toss heads. a. fans become less aggressive after watching a sporting event They got pregnant shortly thereafter and concluded (and counseled their friends) that thinking too much about it was itself responsible for their failure to conceive. Muluple Choice Young women purchase fewer meats than women who are 35 years of age or older. b. . The comet argument can be clarified as follows: The correct form for an explanatory argument should look familiarit is also the form of the fallacy of affirming the consequent, introduced in Chapter 11. Wilhelm Wundt, Sigmund Freud, Noam Chomsky. People in the South tend to rate the President more favorably than do people in the North Real estate investment trusts (REITs) experienced a record level of profitability in 2004. The experimental subjects do not know which (if any) treatment they are receiving. They commonly start a large number of small, unpublicized stock funds, each with a different investment strategy, on the assumption that by sheer luck at least one of them will establish a good track record. In which of the following situations is aggression likely to occur? An inactive substance used in controlled experiments to test the effectiveness of another substance; the treatment group receives the substance being tested, and the control group receives the placebo. The other roots the power of suggestion in physiology: extreme fright and despair disrupt the sympathetic nervous system and paralyze body functions. For singular explanations, the simplest one normally offers the fewest explanatory entities. a. Is there no other explanation of the outcome that already exists? WebWhich of the following is an explanatory hypothesis? Want to create or adapt books like this? Newtons theories, for example, while applied here to Halleys comet, actually cover the motion of all objects at all times. WebWhich of the following is an explanatory hypothesis? Being a plumber, I was summoned to the home of an attractive woman to repair a faulty shower nozzle that was spraying water all over her bathroom. or she may have been secretly using a two-headed coin. d. a and b. e. a and c. b. in the quest of some nonaggressive goal. A second way of distinguishing among explanatory arguments is in their level of generality. Aggression is detrimental to performance. But you can still ask whether such explanations make sense, and whether they make more sense than the alternative explanations. 16. We are the only two people in this apartment. Relatives gather close to the victim, wailing, chanting, and covering the victim with a funeral cloth. For example, our hypothesis in this case could be that the toast didn't toast because the electrical outlet is broken. And it is highly probable that we will have any observation at all. So, an unfalsifiable explanation fails the improbable outcome test. a. a. with the intent to harm physically. Which of the following exemplifies the unconditional positive regard component of client-centered therapy? And it contains the two essential components of an explanatory argument. General explanations are typical of science, though are not restricted to it. c. with the intent to harm psychologically. Reject explanatory arguments that have unfalsifiable explanations; they are in principle unable to satisfy the first part of the total evidence condition. WebTranscribed image text: www.bbt.com Our Time.com Cesearch Foundations, Process, and Ethics Savod Which of the following is an explanatory hypothesis? In the late 1950s, a doctor reported in the Journal of the American Medical Association that stomach ulcers could be effectively treated by having a patient swallow a balloon connected to some tubes that circulated a refrigerated fluid. These crops are laid down in these sensational patterns by an energy that is of a high level of intelligence. Alas, two British painters finally confessed that they had perpetrated the hoax over a 13-year period simply by pulling around flat, four-foot planks by hand with reins to topple over the stalks. She is a ________. A relationship that has been established based on a large amount of observational and experimental data is: Why is it that creationism can never be accepted as a scientific explanation of the origin of life? Just like the coin-toss and mutual fund cases, coincidence does make sense and is at least as likely here as the paranormal. sentence with an appropriate personal pronoun. d. Frustration produces physical but not psychological aggression. Both the premise and the conclusion of an inductive generalization are concerned with the same subject matter. Searching for a once volcanic place of origin, researchers ruled out both Venus, because the atmosphere is too thick for such a rock to have escaped, and the moon, since it stopped erupting 3 billion years ago. 1. On the other hand, does the arguer seem to expect the form alone to provide the logical support for the conclusion? b. in the quest of some nonaggressive goal. Ideally, the explanation contains a cohesive and cogent understanding of the origins of the problems, the conditions that perpetuate them, the obstacles interfering with their solution, and the resources available to address them. Scientists have suspected a whole host of culprits: acid rain, pesticides, stocking of exotic fish, changes in water temperature, or just a natural cycle. This is a way of emphasizing the importance of an improbable outcome. A It includes the presumption of So the outcome probably would be true even if the gods explanation were false, and the argument is logically extremely weak. Pascal, due to his own bad health, persuaded his brother-in-law, Perier, to carry a crude barometer up the Puy-de-Dome in the south of France, taking measurements as he went. Punishment motivates learning better than does reward.. For general explanations, a good way to check for simplicity is to ask. D. It excludes the presumption of Newsweek, Sample answer. The probability of the explanation is not implausibly low. Sample exercise. But there is a viable alternative explanation for this outcomenamely, Escaping from a shipwreck is largely a matter of luck, shipwrecks having little regard for passengers religious beliefs. An increase in family income leads to an increase in the percentage of income spent on housing. A. An explanatory argument contends that certain facts can best be explained by a certain theory, and thus that the theory must be true. And the argument concludes that the explanation is thus true. Each of these passages discusses an explanation that might be thought to be unfalsifiable. Favor outcomes that would falsify alternative explanations. Fallacy of affirming the consequent. An increase in family income leads to an increase in the percentage of income spent on housing. Concrete, according to the campus architect, was poured whenever the schedule required and the necessary materials were available. This is what happened with Torricellis hypothesis. Doing the math for five years, we find that the prior probability of the coincidence explanation is about .03that is, about 1 in 30 could be expected to have this kind of success just by chance. A theory predicts events in a broad, general context; a hypothesis makes a specific prediction about a specified set of circumstances. Suppose the phone rings and you pick it up, only to hear the click of someones hanging up on the other end. Meteorites provide yet another example. Scientists generally base scientific hypotheses on previous observations that cannot satisfactorily be explained with the available scientific theories. The argument would be greatly improved if the outcome included an attempt to rule out this alternative explanation, namely, I walk around on the ground while I wear the shoes, and I float in the air when I take them off. Even across the street I could see a great blue anchor tattooed on the back of the fellows hand. If it is a singular explanation, you can ask if it is the sort of thing that is known to happen, and if it tends to happen more frequently than do the alternatives. Makes a specific prediction about a specified set of circumstances scientific theories Sample answer hire independent laboratories! 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